Dorking Wanderers vs Ebbsfleet United: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Meadowbank Stadium, Dorking, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Ebbsfleet United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dorking Wanderers vs Ebbsfleet United?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Dorking Wanderers (1,848) and Ebbsfleet United (1,817).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dorking Wanderers have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Ebbsfleet United have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 2-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Totton(away) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maidenhead(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Cray Valley PM(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | West Ham United U21(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Dartford(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Worthing(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Dorking Wanderers win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Ebbsfleet United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers 3-1 Ebbsfleet United | National League - South |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Ebbsfleet United 2-1 Dorking Wanderers | National League - South |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Dorking Wanderers 1-4 Ebbsfleet United | National League |
| Sep 26, 2023 | Ebbsfleet United 0-1 Dorking Wanderers | National League |
| Mar 26, 2022 | Ebbsfleet United 1-1 Dorking Wanderers | National League - South |
| Jan 22, 2022 | Dorking Wanderers 5-1 Ebbsfleet United | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Dorking Wanderers vs Ebbsfleet United on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dorking Wanderers score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ebbsfleet United score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorking Wanderers | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Ebbsfleet United | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Dorking Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dorking Wanderers vs Ebbsfleet United?
- The Footlab model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Ebbsfleet United.
- Where and when is Dorking Wanderers vs Ebbsfleet United played?
- Dorking Wanderers vs Ebbsfleet United is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Meadowbank Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Maidstone UtdvsFarnham Town
- Nov 21, 2026DovervsHorsham
- Nov 21, 2026BraintreevsTorquay
- Nov 21, 2026MaidenheadvsFolkestone Invicta
- Nov 21, 2026Billericay TownvsSlough Town
- Nov 21, 2026Truro CityvsHemel Hempstead Town
- Nov 21, 2026Chesham UnitedvsHampton & Richmond
- Nov 21, 2026AFC TottonvsDagenham & Redbridge