Dorking Wanderers vs Ebbsfleet United: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Meadowbank Stadium, Dorking, Surrey
The Footlab AI model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Dorking Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ebbsfleet United wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,853 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dorking Wanderers vs Ebbsfleet United?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Dorking Wanderers (1,944) and Ebbsfleet United (1,973).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dorking Wanderers vs Ebbsfleet United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dorking Wanderers
Not enough data to predict the Dorking Wanderers lineup.
Ebbsfleet United
4-3-3- 9A. Cosgrave
- 14D. Samuel
- 17L. Peake
- 22B. Chapman
- 4J. Hessenthaler
- 20M. Manktelow
- 24M. Olagunju
- 12Ronny Nelson
- 7J. Passley
- 6T. Dallison-Lisbon
- 13G. Bellagambi
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 06:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dorking Wanderers have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Ebbsfleet United have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(home) | 3-3 | National League - South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Slough Town(away) | 3-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dover(away) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dover(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Chatham Town(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(away) | 3-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Maidenhead(home) | 4-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Horsham(home) | 2-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(home) | 6-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 13, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 5-0 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Dorking Wanderers wins, 1 draw, 2 Ebbsfleet United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers 3-1 Ebbsfleet United | National League - South |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Ebbsfleet United 2-1 Dorking Wanderers | National League - South |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Dorking Wanderers 1-4 Ebbsfleet United | National League |
| Sep 26, 2023 | Ebbsfleet United 0-1 Dorking Wanderers | National League |
| Mar 26, 2022 | Ebbsfleet United 1-1 Dorking Wanderers | National League - South |
| Jan 22, 2022 | Dorking Wanderers 5-1 Ebbsfleet United | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Dorking Wanderers vs Ebbsfleet United on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dorking Wanderers score 2.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ebbsfleet United score 2.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorking Wanderers | 2.6 | 1.9 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Ebbsfleet United | 2.3 | 0.8 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dorking Wanderers sit 9th in National League - South (21 points from 13 matches) and Ebbsfleet United sit 1st (28 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ebbsfleet United | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 7 | 28 |
| 9 | Dorking Wanderers | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 29 | 21 | 21 |
A question about Dorking Wanderers vs Ebbsfleet United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dorking Wanderers vs Ebbsfleet United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Dorking Wanderers.
- Where and when is Dorking Wanderers vs Ebbsfleet United played?
- Dorking Wanderers vs Ebbsfleet United is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Meadowbank Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Maidstone UtdvsFarnham Town
- Nov 21, 2026DovervsHorsham
- Nov 21, 2026BraintreevsTorquay
- Nov 21, 2026MaidenheadvsFolkestone Invicta
- Nov 21, 2026Billericay TownvsSlough Town
- Nov 21, 2026Truro CityvsHemel Hempstead Town
- Nov 21, 2026Chesham UnitedvsHampton & Richmond
- Nov 21, 2026AFC TottonvsDagenham & Redbridge