Dornbirn vs Kitzbühel: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 10Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Sparkasse Arena Birkenwiese, Dornbirn
The Footlab model makes Dornbirn the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Kitzbühel. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dornbirn vs Kitzbühel?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Dornbirn (1,704) and Kitzbühel (1,668).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dornbirn have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Kitzbühel have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Lochau(home) | 7-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SK St. Johann(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wolfurt(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Swarovski Tirol II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Ried(home) | 1-5 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lauterach(home) | 4-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Röthis(home) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fügen(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lustenau(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lustenau(away) | 4-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Dornbirn win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Kitzbühel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Kitzbühel 0-4 Dornbirn | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Dornbirn 4-2 Kitzbühel | Regionalliga - West |
| May 24, 2025 | Dornbirn 0-0 Kitzbühel | Regionalliga - West |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Kitzbühel 1-3 Dornbirn | Regionalliga - West |
| Mar 30, 2019 | Dornbirn 0-0 Kitzbühel | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2018 | Kitzbühel 1-2 Dornbirn | Regionalliga - West |
Last archived meeting: Kitzbühel vs Dornbirn on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dornbirn score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kitzbühel score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dornbirn | 1.9 | 1.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Kitzbühel | 2.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dornbirn sit 2nd in Regionalliga - West (10 points from 4 matches) and Kitzbühel sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dornbirn | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Kitzbühel | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dornbirn vs Kitzbühel?
- The Footlab model makes Dornbirn the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Kitzbühel.
- Where and when is Dornbirn vs Kitzbühel played?
- Dornbirn vs Kitzbühel is played on October 4, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Sparkasse Arena Birkenwiese, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.