Lochau vs Lustenau: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 10Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Hoferfeld, Lochau
The Footlab model makes Lochau the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Lustenau. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lochau vs Lustenau?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Lochau (1,580) and Lustenau (1,520).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lochau have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Lustenau have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Dornbirn(away) | 0-7 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rheindorf Altach II(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kufstein(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hohenems(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Admira Dornbirn(home) | 3-0 | Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rheindorf Altach II(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kufstein(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hohenems(away) | 0-6 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Kitzbühel(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kitzbühel(home) | 1-4 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lochau win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Lustenau win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2025 | Lochau 1-2 Lustenau | Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Lustenau 0-3 Lochau | Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga |
| May 8, 2024 | Lochau 1-3 Lustenau | Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Lustenau 1-4 Lochau | Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Lochau 0-1 Lustenau | Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Lustenau 1-1 Lochau | Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga |
How many goals should we expect?
Lochau score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lustenau score 1.1 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lochau | 1.8 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Lustenau | 1.1 | 2.9 | 0 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lochau sit 14th in Regionalliga - West (4 points from 4 matches) and Lustenau sit 16th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Lochau | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 4 |
| 16 | Lustenau | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lochau vs Lustenau?
- The Footlab model makes Lochau the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Lustenau.
- Where and when is Lochau vs Lustenau played?
- Lochau vs Lustenau is played on October 4, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Hoferfeld, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.