Dover vs Alfreton Town: result 1-0 and analysis
National LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on September 27, 2014 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Perrys Crabble Stadium, Dover, Kent
Full time
What was the result of Dover vs Alfreton Town?
Dover won 1-0 on September 27, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 38′Ricky Howard MillerDover
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dover have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Alfreton Town have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2014 | Torquay(away) | 0-2 | National League |
| Sep 16, 2014 | Dartford(away) | 1-2 | National League |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Macclesfield(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Sep 10, 2014 | Barnet(home) | 0-3 | National League |
| Sep 6, 2014 | AFC Telford United(away) | 4-1 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2014 | Nuneaton Town(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Sep 16, 2014 | AFC Telford United(home) | 3-2 | National League |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Southport(away) | 2-0 | National League |
| Sep 9, 2014 | Altrincham(home) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 6, 2014 | Barnet(away) | 1-2 | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
Dover score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Alfreton Town score 1.1 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dover | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Alfreton Town | 1.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy