Dover vs Farnham Town: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Perrys Crabble Stadium, Dover, Kent
The Footlab model makes Farnham Town the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Dover. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dover vs Farnham Town?
Farnham Town starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (1,899 vs 1,722).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dover have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Farnham Town have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 3-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slough Town(home) | 5-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Billericay Town(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Billericay Town(home) | 2-4 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Slough Town(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(away) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Dover score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Farnham Town score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dover | 1.2 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Farnham Town | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dover sit 10th in National League - South (6 points from 4 matches) and Farnham Town sit 19th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Dover | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| 19 | Farnham Town | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dover vs Farnham Town?
- The Footlab model makes Farnham Town the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Dover.
- Where and when is Dover vs Farnham Town played?
- Dover vs Farnham Town is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Perrys Crabble Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Maidstone UtdvsSlough Town
- Oct 31, 2026BraintreevsHampton & Richmond
- Oct 31, 2026MaidenheadvsDagenham & Redbridge
- Oct 31, 2026Billericay TownvsHemel Hempstead Town
- Oct 31, 2026Truro CityvsEbbsfleet United
- Oct 31, 2026Chesham UnitedvsFolkestone Invicta
- Oct 31, 2026AFC TottonvsChelmsford City
- Oct 31, 2026FarnboroughvsHorsham