Dover vs Farnborough: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 28Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Perrys Crabble Stadium, Dover, Kent
The Footlab AI model makes Dover the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Farnborough. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dover wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dover vs Farnborough?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Dover (1,834) and Farnborough (1,778).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dover vs Farnborough
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dover
Not enough data to predict the Dover lineup.
Farnborough
Not enough data to predict the Farnborough lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dover have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Farnborough have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 4-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Billericay Town(away) | 0-4 | National League - South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(away) | 2-2 | National League - South |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Uxbridge(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Uxbridge(away) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Dover(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dover wins, 0 draws, 4 Farnborough wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Farnborough 0-1 Dover | National League - South |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Dover 1-3 Farnborough | National League - South |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Farnborough 4-1 Dover | FA Cup |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Farnborough 1-2 Dover | National League - South |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Dover 1-3 Farnborough | National League - South |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Farnborough 4-0 Dover | National League - South |
How many goals should we expect?
Dover score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Farnborough score 1.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dover | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Farnborough | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dover sit 8th in National League - South (18 points from 11 matches) and Farnborough sit 18th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Dover | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 18 |
| 18 | Farnborough | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 11 |
A question about Dover vs Farnborough?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dover vs Farnborough?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dover the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Farnborough.
- Where and when is Dover vs Farnborough played?
- Dover vs Farnborough is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Perrys Crabble Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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