Where and when is Dover vs Farnborough played?

Dover vs Farnborough is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Perrys Crabble Stadium, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Dover vs Farnborough: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 28Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Perrys Crabble Stadium, Dover, Kent

Dover

Farnborough

The Footlab model makes Farnborough the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Dover. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dover vs Farnborough?

A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Dover (1,727) and Farnborough (1,776).

Dover win38 %

Draw24 %

Farnborough win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dover have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Farnborough have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dover
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Weston-super-Mare(away)	3-2	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Tonbridge Angels(home)	0-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Slough Town(home)	5-3	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Billericay Town(away)	0-2	National League - South
Aug 1, 2026	Carshalton Athletic(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

Farnborough
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Maidenhead(away)	1-1	National League - South
Aug 19, 2026	Chesham United(home)	1-0	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Hemel Hempstead Town(home)	0-2	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Maidstone Utd(away)	2-1	National League - South
Aug 1, 2026	Bath City(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Dover win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Farnborough win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 11, 2026	Dover 1-3 Farnborough	National League - South
Sep 13, 2025	Farnborough 4-1 Dover	FA Cup
Sep 6, 2025	Farnborough 1-2 Dover	National League - South
Mar 23, 2024	Dover 1-3 Farnborough	National League - South
Oct 28, 2023	Farnborough 4-0 Dover	National League - South
Apr 22, 2023	Farnborough 3-0 Dover	National League - South

Last archived meeting: Dover vs Farnborough on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Dover score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Farnborough score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Dover	1.2	1.8	2	7/15	8/15
Farnborough	1.8	1.4	4	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Dover sit 10th in National League - South (6 points from 4 matches) and Farnborough sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Farnborough	4	2	1	1	4	4	7
10	Dover	4	2	0	2	8	8	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dover vs Farnborough?: The Footlab model makes Farnborough the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Dover.
Where and when is Dover vs Farnborough played?: Dover vs Farnborough is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Perrys Crabble Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.