Chesham United vs Horsham: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 28Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Meadow, Chesham, Buckinghamshire
The Footlab AI model makes Chesham United the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Horsham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chesham United wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,861 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chesham United vs Horsham?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Chesham United (1,838) and Horsham (1,856).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chesham United vs Horsham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chesham United
Not enough data to predict the Chesham United lineup.
Horsham
Not enough data to predict the Horsham lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 04:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chesham United have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Horsham have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Forest Green(home) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chelmsford City(home) | 0-5 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Real Bedford(home) | 4-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Maidenhead(home) | 0-4 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ware(home) | 7-2 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Slough Town(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Chelmsford City(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(away) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Chesham United wins, 1 draw, 0 Horsham wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Horsham 1-4 Chesham United | National League - South |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Horsham 1-2 Chesham United | National League - South |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Chesham United 0-0 Horsham | National League - South |
| Oct 22, 2011 | Chesham United 5-0 Horsham | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Horsham vs Chesham United on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chesham United score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Horsham score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chesham United | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Horsham | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chesham United sit 19th in National League - South (10 points from 11 matches) and Horsham sit 15th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Horsham | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| 19 | Chesham United | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 10 |
A question about Chesham United vs Horsham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chesham United vs Horsham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chesham United the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Horsham.
- Where and when is Chesham United vs Horsham played?
- Chesham United vs Horsham is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Meadow, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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