Match

Chesham United vs Horsham: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 28Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Meadow, Chesham, Buckinghamshire

Chesham UnitedHorsham

The Footlab model makes Chesham United the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Horsham. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chesham United vs Horsham?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Chesham United (1,788) and Horsham (1,816).

Chesham United win49 %
Draw26 %
Horsham win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chesham United have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Horsham have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chesham United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Walton & Hersham(home)2-0National League - South
Aug 19, 2026Farnborough(away)0-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Braintree(away)2-3National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Weston-super-Mare(away)0-3National League - South
Jul 28, 2026Chertsey Town(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Horsham
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Braintree(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Hampton & Richmond(home)2-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Salisbury(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Torquay(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Worthing(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Chesham United win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Horsham win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 20, 2025Horsham 1-2 Chesham UnitedNational League - South
Aug 19, 2025Chesham United 0-0 HorshamNational League - South
Oct 22, 2011Chesham United 5-0 HorshamFA Trophy

Last archived meeting: Horsham vs Chesham United on Dec 20, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Chesham United score 1.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Horsham score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chesham United1.81.839/1511/15
Horsham1.21.255/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chesham United sit 18th in National League - South (3 points from 4 matches) and Horsham sit 2nd (8 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Horsham4220528
18Chesham United4103473

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chesham United vs Horsham?
The Footlab model makes Chesham United the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Horsham.
Where and when is Chesham United vs Horsham played?
Chesham United vs Horsham is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Meadow, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chesham United and Horsham

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