Billericay Town vs Maidenhead: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 28Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)AGP Arena, Billericay, Essex
The Footlab model makes Billericay Town the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Maidenhead. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Billericay Town vs Maidenhead?
Billericay Town starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (1,974 vs 1,816).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Billericay Town have 13 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Maidenhead have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 4-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | AFC Totton(away) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dover(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| May 4, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Chatham Town(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Farnborough(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Truro City(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brackley Town(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Billericay Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Maidenhead win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2011 | Maidenhead 1-0 Billericay Town | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Maidenhead vs Billericay Town on Nov 26, 2011
How many goals should we expect?
Billericay Town score 2.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Maidenhead score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billericay Town | 2.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Maidenhead | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Billericay Town sit 8th in National League - South (6 points from 3 matches) and Maidenhead sit 14th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Billericay Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 14 | Maidenhead | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Billericay Town vs Maidenhead?
- The Footlab model makes Billericay Town the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Maidenhead.
- Where and when is Billericay Town vs Maidenhead played?
- Billericay Town vs Maidenhead is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at AGP Arena, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 23, 2027Dagenham & RedbridgevsWeston-super-Mare
- Jan 23, 2027Maidstone UtdvsBraintree
- Jan 23, 2027DovervsFarnborough
- Jan 23, 2027Slough TownvsAFC Totton
- Jan 23, 2027Chelmsford CityvsHampton & Richmond
- Jan 23, 2027Chesham UnitedvsHorsham
- Jan 23, 2027SalisburyvsEbbsfleet United
- Jan 23, 2027Dorking WanderersvsTorquay