Match

Salisbury vs Ebbsfleet United: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 28Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Raymond McEnhill Stadium, Salisbury, Wiltshire

SalisburyEbbsfleet United

The Footlab model makes Salisbury the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Ebbsfleet United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Salisbury vs Ebbsfleet United?

A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Salisbury (1,760) and Ebbsfleet United (1,817).

Salisbury win43 %
Draw24 %
Ebbsfleet United win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salisbury have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Ebbsfleet United have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Salisbury
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(home)1-2National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Horsham(away)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Hampton & Richmond(home)5-0National League - South
Jul 31, 2026Havant & Wville(home)5-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Frome Town(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Ebbsfleet United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 31, 2026Gillingham(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026Cray Valley PM(away)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026West Ham United U21(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 7, 2026Dartford(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Worthing(away)0-2National League - South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Salisbury win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ebbsfleet United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 7, 2026Salisbury 1-1 Ebbsfleet UnitedNational League - South
Oct 25, 2025Ebbsfleet United 2-0 SalisburyNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Salisbury vs Ebbsfleet United on Feb 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Salisbury score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ebbsfleet United score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Salisbury2.31.359/1512/15
Ebbsfleet United1.91.5310/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Salisbury3111624

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Salisbury vs Ebbsfleet United?
The Footlab model makes Salisbury the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Ebbsfleet United.
Where and when is Salisbury vs Ebbsfleet United played?
Salisbury vs Ebbsfleet United is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Raymond McEnhill Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Salisbury and Ebbsfleet United

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