Match

Dover vs Weston-super-Mare: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 37Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Perrys Crabble Stadium, Dover, Kent

DoverWeston-super-Mare

The Footlab model makes Weston-super-Mare the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Dover. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dover vs Weston-super-Mare?

Weston-super-Mare starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,834 vs 1,727).

Dover win34 %
Draw27 %
Weston-super-Mare win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dover have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Weston-super-Mare have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dover
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Weston-super-Mare(away)3-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Tonbridge Angels(home)0-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Slough Town(home)5-3National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Billericay Town(away)0-2National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Carshalton Athletic(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Weston-super-Mare
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dover(home)2-3National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Torquay(away)0-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Hampton & Richmond(home)3-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Chesham United(home)3-0National League - South
Jul 31, 2026Gloucester City(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Dover win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Weston-super-Mare win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Weston-super-Mare 2-3 DoverNational League - South
Feb 21, 2026Dover 1-1 Weston-super-MareNational League - South
Nov 22, 2025Weston-super-Mare 1-2 DoverNational League - South
Mar 9, 2024Weston-super-Mare 1-0 DoverNational League - South
Nov 25, 2023Dover 0-1 Weston-super-MareNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Weston-super-Mare vs Dover on Aug 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Dover score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Weston-super-Mare score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Dover1.21.827/158/15
Weston-super-Mare1.20.975/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Dover sit 10th in National League - South (6 points from 4 matches) and Weston-super-Mare sit 3rd (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Weston-super-Mare4211837
10Dover4202886

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dover vs Weston-super-Mare?
The Footlab model makes Weston-super-Mare the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Dover.
Where and when is Dover vs Weston-super-Mare played?
Dover vs Weston-super-Mare is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Perrys Crabble Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Dover and Weston-super-Mare

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