Dover vs Weston-super-Mare: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 37Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Perrys Crabble Stadium, Dover, Kent
The Footlab AI model makes Weston-super-Mare the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Dover. The most likely score is 1-1. If Weston-super-Mare wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,479 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dover vs Weston-super-Mare?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Dover (1,834) and Weston-super-Mare (1,901).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dover vs Weston-super-Mare
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dover
Not enough data to predict the Dover lineup.
Weston-super-Mare
4-2-3-1- 22G. Robesten
- 3D. Bernard
- 12W. Dawes
- 15Emlyn Lewis
- 14Jason Pope
- 4Jacob Cane
- 2M. Smith
- 6S. Avery
- 21D. Martin
- 23Bak
- 1M. Harris
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dover have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Weston-super-Mare have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 4-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 2-3 | National League - South |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Wimborne Town(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Wimborne Town(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Dover wins, 1 draw, 2 Weston-super-Mare wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare 2-3 Dover | National League - South |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Dover 1-1 Weston-super-Mare | National League - South |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Weston-super-Mare 1-2 Dover | National League - South |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Weston-super-Mare 1-0 Dover | National League - South |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Dover 0-1 Weston-super-Mare | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Weston-super-Mare vs Dover on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dover score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Weston-super-Mare score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dover | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Weston-super-Mare | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dover sit 8th in National League - South (18 points from 11 matches) and Weston-super-Mare sit 7th (18 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Weston-super-Mare | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Dover | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 18 |
A question about Dover vs Weston-super-Mare?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dover vs Weston-super-Mare?
- The Footlab AI model makes Weston-super-Mare the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Dover.
- Where and when is Dover vs Weston-super-Mare played?
- Dover vs Weston-super-Mare is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Perrys Crabble Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027Maidstone UtdvsDorking Wanderers
- Mar 6, 2027TorquayvsDagenham & Redbridge
- Mar 6, 2027Billericay TownvsFarnham Town
- Mar 6, 2027Slough TownvsHampton & Richmond
- Mar 6, 2027Chelmsford CityvsFolkestone Invicta
- Mar 6, 2027Truro CityvsTonbridge Angels
- Mar 6, 2027AFC TottonvsEbbsfleet United
- Mar 6, 2027FarnboroughvsMaidenhead