Where and when is Tonbridge Angels vs Dover played?

Tonbridge Angels vs Dover is played on March 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Longmead Stadium, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Tonbridge Angels vs Dover: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 38Kick-off on March 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Longmead Stadium, Tonbridge, Kent

Tonbridge Angels

Dover

The Footlab model makes Tonbridge Angels the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Dover. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tonbridge Angels vs Dover?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Tonbridge Angels (1,775) and Dover (1,727).

Tonbridge Angels win49 %

Draw24 %

Dover win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tonbridge Angels have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Dover have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tonbridge Angels
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Truro City(home)	0-2	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Dover(away)	1-0	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Torquay(home)	1-2	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Braintree(away)	4-0	National League - South
Jul 28, 2026	Eastbourne Borough(home)	4-2	Friendlies Clubs

Dover
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Weston-super-Mare(away)	3-2	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Tonbridge Angels(home)	0-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Slough Town(home)	5-3	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Billericay Town(away)	0-2	National League - South
Aug 1, 2026	Carshalton Athletic(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Tonbridge Angels win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Dover win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 18, 2026	Dover 0-1 Tonbridge Angels	National League - South
Mar 10, 2026	Dover 2-0 Tonbridge Angels	National League - South
Oct 4, 2025	Tonbridge Angels 2-1 Dover	National League - South
Jan 23, 2024	Dover 1-2 Tonbridge Angels	National League - South
Aug 15, 2023	Tonbridge Angels 1-0 Dover	National League - South
Jan 24, 2023	Tonbridge Angels 4-0 Dover	National League - South

Last archived meeting: Dover vs Tonbridge Angels on Aug 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tonbridge Angels score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Dover score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Tonbridge Angels	1.7	1.2	4	8/15	8/15
Dover	1.2	1.8	2	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tonbridge Angels sit 9th in National League - South (6 points from 4 matches) and Dover sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Tonbridge Angels	4	2	0	2	6	4	6
10	Dover	4	2	0	2	8	8	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tonbridge Angels vs Dover?: The Footlab model makes Tonbridge Angels the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Dover.
Where and when is Tonbridge Angels vs Dover played?: Tonbridge Angels vs Dover is played on March 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Longmead Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.