Match

Maidstone Utd vs Dorking Wanderers: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 37Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gallagher Stadium, Maidstone, Kent

Maidstone UtdDorking Wanderers

The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Dorking Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Maidstone Utd vs Dorking Wanderers?

A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Maidstone Utd (1,930) and Dorking Wanderers (1,848).

Maidstone Utd win58 %
Draw22 %
Dorking Wanderers win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maidstone Utd have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Dorking Wanderers have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Maidstone Utd
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dorking Wanderers(away)3-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Folkestone Invicta(home)1-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Walton & Hersham(away)3-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Farnborough(home)1-2National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Chatham Town(away)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Dorking Wanderers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Maidstone Utd(home)2-3National League - South
Aug 18, 2026AFC Totton(away)3-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Maidenhead(away)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Dagenham & Redbridge(home)0-1National League - South
Jul 28, 2026Dulwich Hamlet(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Maidstone Utd win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Dorking Wanderers win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dorking Wanderers 2-3 Maidstone UtdNational League - South
Feb 21, 2026Maidstone Utd 1-1 Dorking WanderersNational League - South
Nov 22, 2025Dorking Wanderers 3-1 Maidstone UtdNational League - South
Mar 11, 2025Maidstone Utd 1-1 Dorking WanderersNational League - South
Nov 5, 2024Dorking Wanderers 1-1 Maidstone UtdNational League - South
Dec 13, 2022Dorking Wanderers 3-2 Maidstone UtdNational League

Last archived meeting: Dorking Wanderers vs Maidstone Utd on Aug 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Maidstone Utd score 2.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Dorking Wanderers score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Maidstone Utd2.41.269/1511/15
Dorking Wanderers1.11.738/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Maidstone Utd sit 5th in National League - South (7 points from 4 matches) and Dorking Wanderers sit 16th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Maidstone Utd4211857
16Dorking Wanderers4112544

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Maidstone Utd vs Dorking Wanderers?
The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Dorking Wanderers.
Where and when is Maidstone Utd vs Dorking Wanderers played?
Maidstone Utd vs Dorking Wanderers is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gallagher Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Maidstone Utd and Dorking Wanderers

Ready to know everything about football?