Match

Chelmsford City vs Folkestone Invicta: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 37Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Melbourne Stadium, Chelmsford, Essex

Chelmsford CityFolkestone Invicta

The Footlab model makes Folkestone Invicta the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Chelmsford City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chelmsford City vs Folkestone Invicta?

Folkestone Invicta starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,947 vs 1,842).

Chelmsford City win36 %
Draw26 %
Folkestone Invicta win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelmsford City have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Folkestone Invicta have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chelmsford City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Folkestone Invicta(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Truro City(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(away)1-1National League - South
Apr 25, 2026Eastbourne Borough(home)1-3National League - South
Apr 18, 2026Chesham United(away)2-0National League - South
Folkestone Invicta
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Chelmsford City(home)1-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Maidstone Utd(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Walton & Hersham(home)5-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Welling United(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026Sutton Utd(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Chelmsford City win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Folkestone Invicta win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Folkestone Invicta 1-1 Chelmsford CityNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Folkestone Invicta vs Chelmsford City on Aug 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chelmsford City score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Folkestone Invicta score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chelmsford City1.51.459/156/15
Folkestone Invicta2.11.5311/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chelmsford City sit 17th in National League - South (3 points from 3 matches) and Folkestone Invicta sit 12th (5 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Folkestone Invicta3120735
17Chelmsford City3030223

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chelmsford City vs Folkestone Invicta?
The Footlab model makes Folkestone Invicta the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Chelmsford City.
Where and when is Chelmsford City vs Folkestone Invicta played?
Chelmsford City vs Folkestone Invicta is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Melbourne Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chelmsford City and Folkestone Invicta

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