FC Santiago vs Dragones de Oaxaca: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 13Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Complejo Capilla Soccer Park, San Antonio
The Footlab AI model makes FC Santiago the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Dragones de Oaxaca. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Santiago wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,445 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Santiago vs Dragones de Oaxaca?
On Elo ratings, FC Santiago has 1,992 points and Dragones de Oaxaca 1,908.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Santiago vs Dragones de Oaxaca
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Santiago
Not enough data to predict the FC Santiago lineup.
Dragones de Oaxaca
Not enough data to predict the Dragones de Oaxaca lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 11:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Santiago have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Dragones de Oaxaca have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Ciervos(away) | 3-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Real Refineros(home) | 6-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Real Apodaca(home) | 3-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | La Tribu de Cd. Juarez(away) | 2-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Guerreros(home) | 2-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Mineros de Fresnillo(home) | 2-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Héroes de Zaci(home) | 6-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Artesanos Metepec(away) | 0-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Guerreros del Pacifico(home) | 5-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Refineros(home) | 3-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Santiago score 2.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Dragones de Oaxaca score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Santiago | 2.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Dragones de Oaxaca | 2.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Santiago sit 2nd in Liga Premier Serie A (20 points from 10 matches) and Dragones de Oaxaca sit 1st (25 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dragones de Oaxaca | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | FC Santiago | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 7 | 20 |
A question about FC Santiago vs Dragones de Oaxaca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Santiago vs Dragones de Oaxaca?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Santiago the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Dragones de Oaxaca.
- Where and when is FC Santiago vs Dragones de Oaxaca played?
- FC Santiago vs Dragones de Oaxaca is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Complejo Capilla Soccer Park, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Héroes de ZacivsDelfines Coatzacoalcos
- Nov 21, 2026AcatlanvsGuerreros del Pacifico
- Nov 21, 2026Mineros de FresnillovsArtesanos Metepec
- Nov 21, 2026Atlético SaltillovsHalcones Negros
- Nov 22, 2026La Tribu de Cd. JuarezvsReal Refineros
- Nov 22, 2026Vaqueros ReynosavsCiervos
- Nov 22, 2026GuerrerosvsCalor de San Pedro
- Nov 22, 2026Real ApodacavsAcambaro