Where and when is Dragones de Oaxaca vs Mineros de Fresnillo played?

Dragones de Oaxaca vs Mineros de Fresnillo is played on November 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC), in the Liga Premier Serie A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Dragones de Oaxaca vs Mineros de Fresnillo: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 10Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)

Dragones de Oaxaca

Mineros de Fresnillo

The Footlab model makes Dragones de Oaxaca the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Mineros de Fresnillo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dragones de Oaxaca vs Mineros de Fresnillo?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Dragones de Oaxaca (1,825) and Mineros de Fresnillo (1,831).

Dragones de Oaxaca win45 %

Draw26 %

Mineros de Fresnillo win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dragones de Oaxaca have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Mineros de Fresnillo have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dragones de Oaxaca
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Mar 28, 2026	Poza Rica(away)	1-2	Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 26, 2026	Poza Rica(home)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 14, 2026	Aguacateros CDU(away)	0-0	Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 7, 2026	Poza Rica(home)	5-1	Liga Premier Serie B
Feb 22, 2026	Acambaro(home)	1-2	Liga Premier Serie B

Mineros de Fresnillo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 19, 2026	Cimarrones(away)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 15, 2026	Cimarrones(home)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 11, 2026	Durango(away)	1-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 28, 2026	Reboceros La Piedad(home)	6-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 21, 2026	Colima(away)	0-0	Liga Premier Serie A

How many goals should we expect?

Dragones de Oaxaca score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Mineros de Fresnillo score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Dragones de Oaxaca	1.2	1.0	6	7/15	6/15
Mineros de Fresnillo	1.7	1.2	4	10/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40	41	39

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dragones de Oaxaca vs Mineros de Fresnillo?: The Footlab model makes Dragones de Oaxaca the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Mineros de Fresnillo.
Where and when is Dragones de Oaxaca vs Mineros de Fresnillo played?: Dragones de Oaxaca vs Mineros de Fresnillo is played on November 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC), in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.