Cañoneros Marina vs Acatlan: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 10Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Quirazco, Xalapa-Enríquez
The Footlab model makes Cañoneros Marina the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Acatlan. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cañoneros Marina vs Acatlan?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Cañoneros Marina (1,721) and Acatlan (1,706).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cañoneros Marina have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Acatlan have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Racing de Veracruz(away) | 0-5 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Héroes de Zaci(home) | 5-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Tapachula(home) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(away) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Neza(home) | 3-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Cimarrones(home) | 0-4 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Colima(home) | 1-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Ensenada(away) | 1-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 22, 2026 | UA Zacatecas(home) | 4-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Durango(home) | 0-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Cañoneros Marina score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Acatlan score 1.7 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cañoneros Marina | 1.0 | 2.1 | 3 | 4/15 | 11/15 |
| Acatlan | 1.7 | 2.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cañoneros Marina sit 11th in Liga Premier Serie A (22 points from 24 matches) and Acatlan sit 13th (21 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cañoneros Marina | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 25 | 49 | 22 |
| 13 | Acatlan | 26 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 39 | 73 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cañoneros Marina vs Acatlan?
- The Footlab model makes Cañoneros Marina the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Acatlan.
- Where and when is Cañoneros Marina vs Acatlan played?
- Cañoneros Marina vs Acatlan is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Quirazco, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Guerreros del PacificovsHéroes de Zaci
- Oct 31, 2026CiervosvsFC Santiago
- Oct 31, 2026Artesanos MetepecvsAtlético Saltillo
- Oct 31, 2026Real RefinerosvsGuerreros
- Nov 1, 2026Calor de San PedrovsCorrecaminos UAT II
- Nov 1, 2026Dragones de OaxacavsMineros de Fresnillo
- Nov 1, 2026Delfines CoatzacoalcosvsLa Tribu de Cd. Juarez
- Nov 1, 2026AcambarovsVaqueros Reynosa