Where and when is Ciervos vs FC Santiago played?

Ciervos vs FC Santiago is played on October 31, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Arreola, in the Liga Premier Serie A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ciervos vs FC Santiago: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 10Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Arreola, Chalco de Díaz Covarrubias

Ciervos

FC Santiago

The Footlab model makes FC Santiago the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Ciervos. The most likely score is 0-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ciervos vs FC Santiago?

FC Santiago is a heavy favourite: 2,003 Elo points against 1,569, a 434-point gap.

Ciervos win12 %

Draw18 %

FC Santiago win70 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ciervos have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; FC Santiago have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ciervos
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 11, 2026	Chilpancingo(home)	1-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 31, 2026	FC Santiago(away)	0-5	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 21, 2026	Zacatepec 1948(home)	2-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 14, 2026	Sporting Canamy(away)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 7, 2026	Gavilanes FC Matamoros(home)	0-2	Liga Premier Serie A

FC Santiago
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 19, 2026	Zacatepec 1948(home)	2-3	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 15, 2026	Zacatepec 1948(away)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 11, 2026	Sporting Canamy(away)	6-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 6, 2026	Zitacuaro(away)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 31, 2026	Ciervos(home)	5-0	Liga Premier Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Ciervos win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 FC Santiago win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 31, 2026	FC Santiago 5-0 Ciervos	Liga Premier Serie A
Nov 15, 2025	Ciervos 1-2 FC Santiago	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 1, 2025	Ciervos 0-3 FC Santiago	Liga Premier Serie B
Oct 26, 2024	FC Santiago 2-1 Ciervos	Liga Premier Serie B
Jan 27, 2024	FC Santiago 1-0 Ciervos	Liga Premier Serie B
Aug 26, 2023	Ciervos 0-1 FC Santiago	Liga Premier Serie B

Last archived meeting: FC Santiago vs Ciervos on Mar 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ciervos score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC Santiago score 2.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ciervos	0.9	1.7	2	10/15	8/15
FC Santiago	2.0	0.7	6	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ciervos sit 13th in Liga Premier Serie A (18 points from 26 matches) and FC Santiago sit 2nd (51 points from 26 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43	21	51
13	Ciervos	26	4	4	18	20	50	18

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ciervos vs FC Santiago?: The Footlab model makes FC Santiago the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Ciervos.
Where and when is Ciervos vs FC Santiago played?: Ciervos vs FC Santiago is played on October 31, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Arreola, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.