Match

Calor de San Pedro vs Correcaminos UAT II: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 10Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Unidad Deportiva Solidaridad, Reynosa

Calor de San PedroCorrecaminos UAT II

The Footlab model makes Calor de San Pedro the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Correcaminos UAT II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Calor de San Pedro vs Correcaminos UAT II?

A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Calor de San Pedro (1,867) and Correcaminos UAT II (1,794).

Calor de San Pedro win56 %
Draw25 %
Correcaminos UAT II win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Calor de San Pedro have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Correcaminos UAT II have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Calor de San Pedro
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Deportiva Venados(away)1-2Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 16, 2026Deportiva Venados(home)0-1Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 12, 2026Lobos ULMX(home)4-1Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 4, 2026Gavilanes FC Matamoros(home)2-0Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 29, 2026Real Apodaca(away)0-1Liga Premier Serie A
Correcaminos UAT II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 11, 2026Real Apodaca(home)1-0Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 28, 2026Chilpancingo(away)1-2Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 21, 2026FC Santiago(home)1-1Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 14, 2026Zacatepec 1948(away)2-3Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 7, 2026Sporting Canamy(home)2-4Liga Premier Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Calor de San Pedro win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Correcaminos UAT II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 14, 2026Correcaminos UAT II 0-1 Calor de San PedroLiga Premier Serie A
Sep 30, 2025Calor de San Pedro 0-0 Correcaminos UAT IILiga Premier Serie A
Apr 6, 2024Calor de San Pedro 1-3 Correcaminos UAT IILiga Premier Serie A
Nov 3, 2023Correcaminos UAT II 2-1 Calor de San PedroLiga Premier Serie A

Last archived meeting: Correcaminos UAT II vs Calor de San Pedro on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Calor de San Pedro score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Correcaminos UAT II score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Calor de San Pedro1.30.956/156/15
Correcaminos UAT II1.11.347/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Calor de San Pedro sit 5th in Liga Premier Serie A (44 points from 26 matches) and Correcaminos UAT II sit 8th (36 points from 26 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Calor de San Pedro261277372644
8Correcaminos UAT II269710272536

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Calor de San Pedro vs Correcaminos UAT II?
The Footlab model makes Calor de San Pedro the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Correcaminos UAT II.
Where and when is Calor de San Pedro vs Correcaminos UAT II played?
Calor de San Pedro vs Correcaminos UAT II is played on November 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Unidad Deportiva Solidaridad, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Calor de San Pedro and Correcaminos UAT II

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