Match

Real Refineros vs Guerreros: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 10Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)

Real RefinerosGuerreros

The Footlab AI model makes Real Refineros the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Guerreros. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Refineros wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,447 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Refineros vs Guerreros?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Real Refineros (1,800) and Guerreros (1,810).

42%23%35%
Real Refineros winDrawGuerreros win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Real Refineros vs Guerreros

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Real Refineros

Not enough data to predict the Real Refineros lineup.

Guerreros

Not enough data to predict the Guerreros lineup.

Computed on October 25, 2026 at 05:11 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Real Refineros have 1 win, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Guerreros have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Refineros
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Guerreros del Pacifico(home)3-3Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 10, 2026Halcones Negros(home)2-3Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 4, 2026Dragones de Oaxaca(away)2-3Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 25, 2026Ciervos(home)3-3Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 20, 2026Delfines Coatzacoalcos(away)2-2Liga Premier Serie A
Guerreros
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Mineros de Fresnillo(away)0-0Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 4, 2026FC Santiago(away)2-2Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 27, 2026Correcaminos UAT II(home)3-0Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 20, 2026Real Apodaca(away)0-2Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 13, 2026La Tribu de Cd. Juarez(home)2-1Liga Premier Serie A

How many goals should we expect?

Real Refineros score 1.6 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 8; Guerreros score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Refineros1.62.025/85/8
Guerreros1.21.738/159/15

Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Refineros sit 8th in Liga Premier Serie A (9 points from 8 matches) and Guerreros sit 7th (9 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Guerreros722310129
8Real Refineros831414169

A question about Real Refineros vs Guerreros?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Refineros vs Guerreros?
The Footlab AI model makes Real Refineros the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Guerreros.
Where and when is Real Refineros vs Guerreros played?
Real Refineros vs Guerreros is played on October 31, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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