Match

Real Refineros vs Guerreros: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 10Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)

Real RefinerosGuerreros

The Footlab model makes Real Refineros the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Guerreros. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Refineros vs Guerreros?

Real Refineros win49 %
Draw25 %
Guerreros win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 0 matches in all competitions, Real Refineros have 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Guerreros have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Guerreros
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 12, 2026Reboceros La Piedad(away)0-3Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 5, 2026Tritons Vallarta(home)0-1Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 29, 2026Colima(home)2-0Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 21, 2026Leones Negros(away)1-2Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 15, 2026Los Cabos United(home)1-1Liga Premier Serie A

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Guerreros268513384232

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Refineros vs Guerreros?
The Footlab model makes Real Refineros the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Guerreros.
Where and when is Real Refineros vs Guerreros played?
Real Refineros vs Guerreros is played on October 31, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Real Refineros and Guerreros

Ready to know everything about football?