Drogheda United vs Galway United: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 36Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Sullivan & Lambe Park, Drogheda
The Footlab model makes Drogheda United the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Galway United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Drogheda United vs Galway United?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Drogheda United (1,586) and Galway United (1,595).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Drogheda United have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Galway United have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | St Patrick's Athl.(home) | 0-2 | Premier Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | College Corinthians(away) | 3-0 | FAI Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Galway United(away) | 0-0 | Premier Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers(home) | 0-0 | Premier Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sligo Rovers(away) | 2-2 | Premier Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Dundalk(away) | 2-1 | Premier Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bray Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | FAI Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Drogheda United(home) | 0-0 | Premier Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Bohemians(away) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Waterford(home) | 0-0 | Premier Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Drogheda United win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Galway United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Galway United 0-0 Drogheda United | Premier Division |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Drogheda United 2-3 Galway United | Premier Division |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Galway United 0-1 Drogheda United | Premier Division |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Galway United 1-1 Drogheda United | Premier Division |
| Jul 4, 2025 | Drogheda United 1-0 Galway United | Premier Division |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Galway United 2-1 Drogheda United | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: Galway United vs Drogheda United on Aug 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Drogheda United score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Galway United score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drogheda United | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Galway United | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Drogheda United sit 9th in Premier Division (28 points from 28 matches) and Galway United sit 7th (33 points from 27 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Galway United | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 41 | 33 |
| 7 | Galway United | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 31 | 24 |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 36 | 22 |
| 9 | Drogheda United | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 45 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Drogheda United vs Galway United?
- The Footlab model makes Drogheda United the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Galway United.
- Where and when is Drogheda United vs Galway United played?
- Drogheda United vs Galway United is played on October 30, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Sullivan & Lambe Park, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.