Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 36Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Oriel Park, Dundalk
The Footlab AI model makes Shamrock Rovers the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Dundalk. The most likely score is 1-1. If Shamrock Rovers wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers?
Shamrock Rovers starts as the favourite with a 182-point Elo edge (1,762 vs 1,579).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dundalk
4-2-3-1- 9C. Dillon
- 7D. Horgan
- 11R. Teahan
- 15T. Clarke
- 6A. Dervin
- 18K. Buckley
- 44T. Grivosti
- 3B. Burns
- 4M. Animasahun
- 5H. Warren
- 1E. Minogue
Shamrock Rovers
3-4-2-1- 88J. McGovern
- 8M. Healy
- 29J. Byrne
- 10G. Burke
- 7D. Watts
- 22T. Sobowale
- 11J. Mulraney
- 5L. Grace
- 4Pico
- 6D. Cleary
- 1E. McGinty
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dundalk have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Shamrock Rovers have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Bohemians(home) | 1-2 | Premier Division |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Shelbourne(home) | 2-3 | Premier Division |
| Sep 14, 2026 | St Patrick's Athl.(home) | 0-4 | Premier Division |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Waterford(away) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Derry City(away) | 2-4 | FAI Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Drogheda United(home) | 3-1 | Premier Division |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Waterford(home) | 3-2 | Premier Division |
| Sep 11, 2026 | St Patrick's Athl.(away) | 0-2 | Premier Division |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Shelbourne(home) | 0-0 | Premier Division |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Derry City(away) | 3-3 | Premier Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dundalk wins, 1 draw, 3 Shamrock Rovers wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers 3-2 Dundalk | Premier Division |
| May 15, 2026 | Dundalk 1-0 Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division |
| Feb 23, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers 1-1 Dundalk | Premier Division |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Dundalk 0-1 Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division |
| Jul 4, 2024 | Shamrock Rovers 1-0 Dundalk | Premier Division |
| May 17, 2024 | Dundalk 1-0 Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk on Aug 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dundalk score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Shamrock Rovers score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundalk | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Shamrock Rovers | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dundalk sit 5th in Premier Division (41 points from 33 matches) and Shamrock Rovers sit 1st (62 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 52 | 32 | 62 |
| 5 | Dundalk | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 55 | 41 |
A question about Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers?
- The Footlab AI model makes Shamrock Rovers the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Dundalk.
- Where and when is Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers played?
- Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers is played on October 30, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Oriel Park, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.