Shelbourne vs Waterford: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 36Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Tolka Park, Dublin
The Footlab AI model makes Shelbourne the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Waterford. The most likely score is 1-1. If Shelbourne wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,953 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shelbourne vs Waterford?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Shelbourne (1,659) and Waterford (1,613).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Shelbourne vs Waterford
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Shelbourne
5-4-1- 11M. Odubeko
- 27E. Caffrey
- 23K. McInroy
- 21Jack Henry-Francis
- 22S. Moore
- 16O. Casey
- 18James Barry Norris
- 4K. Ledwidge
- 24M. Untergrabner
- 15S. Bone
- 19E. Beach
Waterford
4-4-2- 9P. Amond
- 18T. Lonergan
- 10C. Noonan
- 7N. Mawene
- 2J. Houston
- 8E. McLaughlin
- 13K. Long
- 5J. Mahon
- 3Benny Couto
- 16H. Cann
- 1S. McMullan
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 01:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shelbourne have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Waterford have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | St Patrick's Athl.(away) | 2-1 | Premier Division |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sligo Rovers(home) | 5-1 | Premier Division |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Galway United(away) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Dundalk(away) | 3-2 | Premier Division |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Drogheda United(home) | 1-2 | Premier Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Galway United(home) | 3-2 | Premier Division |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Bohemians(away) | 1-2 | Premier Division |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Bohemians(away) | 2-0 | FAI Cup |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers(away) | 2-3 | Premier Division |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Derry City(home) | 2-2 | Premier Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Shelbourne wins, 2 draws, 2 Waterford wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Waterford 1-0 Shelbourne | Premier Division |
| May 22, 2026 | Shelbourne 2-1 Waterford | Premier Division |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Waterford 1-1 Shelbourne | Premier Division |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Shelbourne 2-1 Waterford | Premier Division |
| Jun 23, 2025 | Waterford 2-2 Shelbourne | Premier Division |
| May 5, 2025 | Shelbourne 0-1 Waterford | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: Waterford vs Shelbourne on Aug 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shelbourne score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Waterford score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shelbourne | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Waterford | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shelbourne sit 4th in Premier Division (46 points from 34 matches) and Waterford sit 8th (37 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shelbourne | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 46 |
| 8 | Waterford | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 48 | 58 | 37 |
A question about Shelbourne vs Waterford?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shelbourne vs Waterford?
- The Footlab AI model makes Shelbourne the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Waterford.
- Where and when is Shelbourne vs Waterford played?
- Shelbourne vs Waterford is played on October 30, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Tolka Park, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.