St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 36Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Richmond Park, Dublin
The Footlab AI model makes St Patrick's Athl. the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Bohemians. The most likely score is 1-1. If St Patrick's Athl. wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate St Patrick's Athl. (1,741) and Bohemians (1,695).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
St Patrick's Athl.
3-1-4-2- 9A. Keena
- 27R. Edmondson
- 6J. Lennon
- 7Z. Elbouzedi
- 48R. Sheridan
- 19B. Baggley
- 3A. Breslin
- 2S. Hoare
- 4J. Redmond
- 24L. Turner
- 94J. Anang
Bohemians
4-2-3-1- 9C. Whelan
- 10D. Devoy
- 26R. Tierney
- 7C. Parsons
- 11D. Rooney
- 17A. McDonnell
- 6J. Flores
- 12P. Hickey
- 16D. Power
- 24C. Byrne
- 25P. Walters
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St Patrick's Athl. have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Bohemians have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sligo Rovers(away) | 1-0 | Premier Division |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Dundalk(away) | 4-0 | Premier Division |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers(home) | 2-0 | Premier Division |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bohemians(home) | 1-1 | FAI Cup |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Waterford(home) | 0-2 | Premier Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers(away) | 1-2 | Premier Division |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Waterford(home) | 0-2 | FAI Cup |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Dundalk(away) | 2-1 | Premier Division |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bohemians 1905(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Drogheda United(home) | 2-1 | Premier Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 St Patrick's Athl. win, 4 draws, 1 Bohemians win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | St Patrick's Athl. 1-1 Bohemians | FAI Cup |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Bohemians 2-0 St Patrick's Athl. | Premier Division |
| Apr 24, 2026 | St Patrick's Athl. 3-1 Bohemians | Premier Division |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Bohemians 0-0 St Patrick's Athl. | Premier Division |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Bohemians 0-0 St Patrick's Athl. | Premier Division |
| Jul 4, 2025 | St Patrick's Athl. 0-0 Bohemians | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
St Patrick's Athl. score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bohemians score 1.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St Patrick's Athl. | 1.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Bohemians | 1.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
St Patrick's Athl. sit 2nd in Premier Division (59 points from 32 matches) and Bohemians sit 3rd (59 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | St Patrick's Athl. | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 52 | 25 | 59 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 40 | 59 |
A question about St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians?
- The Footlab AI model makes St Patrick's Athl. the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Bohemians.
- Where and when is St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians played?
- St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians is played on October 30, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Richmond Park, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.