Sligo Rovers vs Derry City: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 36Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Showgrounds, Sligo
The Footlab AI model makes Derry City the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Sligo Rovers. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,744 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
Derry City starts as the favourite with a 214-point Elo edge (1,661 vs 1,447).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sligo Rovers vs Derry City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sligo Rovers
4-2-3-1- 41K. Woolery
- 7J. Shorrock
- 6L. Young
- 10A. Meekison
- 14J. McManus
- 71D. Patton
- 3Sean Stewart
- 52G. McElroy
- 15O. Denham
- 51Aidan Gabbidon
- 1Liam John Hughes
Derry City
3-4-3- 17N. Twisk
- 7M. Duffy
- 15J. Clarke
- 19B. Fleming
- 14E. Chapman
- 12D. Burns
- 8A. O'Reilly
- 3Patrick McClean
- 4J. Stott
- 23C. Dummigan
- 13Tom Norcott
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 10:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sligo Rovers have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Derry City have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers(away) | 0-4 | Premier Division |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dundalk(home) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Shelbourne(away) | 1-5 | Premier Division |
| Sep 19, 2026 | St Patrick's Athl.(home) | 0-1 | Premier Division |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Galway United(home) | 1-3 | Premier Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Dundalk(home) | 2-1 | Premier Division |
| Oct 19, 2026 | St Patrick's Athl.(home) | 1-0 | Premier Division |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Drogheda United(away) | 0-2 | Premier Division |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Galway United(away) | 2-0 | FAI Cup |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Galway United(home) | 1-0 | Premier Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sligo Rovers wins, 1 draw, 3 Derry City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Derry City 2-0 Sligo Rovers | Premier Division |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Sligo Rovers 0-0 Derry City | Premier Division |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Derry City 2-1 Sligo Rovers | Premier Division |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Sligo Rovers 1-0 Derry City | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Derry City 1-0 Sligo Rovers | Premier Division |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Sligo Rovers 2-0 Derry City | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: Derry City vs Sligo Rovers on Aug 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sligo Rovers score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Derry City score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sligo Rovers | 1.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Derry City | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sligo Rovers sit 10th in Premier Division (24 points from 35 matches) and Derry City sit 5th (47 points from 35 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Derry City | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 48 | 45 | 47 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 64 | 24 |
A question about Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Derry City the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Sligo Rovers.
- Where and when is Sligo Rovers vs Derry City played?
- Sligo Rovers vs Derry City is played on October 30, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Showgrounds, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.