Sligo Rovers vs Derry City: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 36Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Showgrounds, Sligo
The Footlab model makes Derry City the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Sligo Rovers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
Derry City starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,660 vs 1,550).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sligo Rovers have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Derry City have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Waterford(home) | 0-0 | Premier Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kerry(home) | 4-0 | FAI Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Derry City(away) | 0-2 | Premier Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dundalk(away) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Drogheda United(home) | 2-2 | Premier Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bohemians(away) | 3-5 | Premier Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | UCD(away) | 2-1 | FAI Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sligo Rovers(home) | 2-0 | Premier Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | St Patrick's Athl.(away) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Jul 30, 2026 | HNK Rijeka(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sligo Rovers win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Derry City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Derry City 2-0 Sligo Rovers | Premier Division |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Sligo Rovers 0-0 Derry City | Premier Division |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Derry City 2-1 Sligo Rovers | Premier Division |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Sligo Rovers 1-0 Derry City | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Derry City 1-0 Sligo Rovers | Premier Division |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Sligo Rovers 2-0 Derry City | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: Derry City vs Sligo Rovers on Aug 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sligo Rovers score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Derry City score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sligo Rovers | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Derry City | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sligo Rovers sit 10th in Premier Division (23 points from 28 matches) and Derry City sit 6th (33 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Derry City | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 38 | 37 | 33 |
| 6 | Derry City | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 25 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 19 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 45 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
- The Footlab model makes Derry City the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Sligo Rovers.
- Where and when is Sligo Rovers vs Derry City played?
- Sligo Rovers vs Derry City is played on October 30, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Showgrounds, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.