Dukla Praha vs Karviná: prediction and stats
FNLRegular Season - 25Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Juliska, Praha
The Footlab model makes Karviná the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Dukla Praha. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dukla Praha vs Karviná?
Karviná starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,946 vs 1,832).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dukla Praha have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Karviná have 10, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Horní Ředice(away) | 5-0 | Cup |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ústí nad Labem(away) | 1-3 | FNL |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Slavia Praha II(home) | 1-3 | FNL |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Vykan(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hanácká(home) | 2-0 | FNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Viktoria Žižkov(home) | 3-0 | FNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Arsenal Česká Lípa(away) | 5-2 | FNL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Brumov(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Prostějov(away) | 2-1 | FNL |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Vlašim(home) | 1-0 | FNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Dukla Praha win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Karviná win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Dukla Praha 1-2 Karviná | Czech Liga |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Karviná 2-0 Dukla Praha | Czech Liga |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Dukla Praha 0-0 Karviná | Czech Liga |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Karviná 0-0 Dukla Praha | Czech Liga |
| May 13, 2023 | Dukla Praha 0-3 Karviná | FNL |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Karviná 5-0 Dukla Praha | FNL |
Last archived meeting: Dukla Praha vs Karviná on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dukla Praha score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Karviná score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dukla Praha | 2.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Karviná | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dukla Praha vs Karviná?
- The Footlab model makes Karviná the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Dukla Praha.
- Where and when is Dukla Praha vs Karviná played?
- Dukla Praha vs Karviná is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Juliska, in the FNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.