Loughgall vs Glenavon FC: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 13, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Lakeview Park, Loughgall
The Footlab model makes Loughgall the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Glenavon FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Loughgall vs Glenavon FC?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Loughgall (1,385) and Glenavon FC (1,416).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Loughgall have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Glenavon FC have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ards(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Institute(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Newington Youth(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rathfriland(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Armagh City(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Newry City AFC(away) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ards(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ballymena United(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Loughgall win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Glenavon FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2025 | Loughgall 1-2 Glenavon FC | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Glenavon FC 0-1 Loughgall | Premiership |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Loughgall 0-2 Glenavon FC | Premiership |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Loughgall 3-0 Glenavon FC | Premiership |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Glenavon FC 2-2 Loughgall | Premiership |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Loughgall 3-1 Glenavon FC | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Loughgall vs Glenavon FC on Jul 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Loughgall score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Glenavon FC score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loughgall | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Glenavon FC | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Loughgall sit 3rd in Championship (8 points from 4 matches) and Glenavon FC sit 4th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Loughgall | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Glenavon FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 7 |
| 5 | Loughgall | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 34 | 51 |
| 6 | Loughgall | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 56 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Loughgall vs Glenavon FC?
- The Footlab model makes Loughgall the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Glenavon FC.
- Where and when is Loughgall vs Glenavon FC played?
- Loughgall vs Glenavon FC is played on November 13, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Lakeview Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.