Crusaders FC vs Glentoran: prediction and stats
PremiershipMatchday 21Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Seaview, Belfast
The Footlab AI model makes Glentoran the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Crusaders FC. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,201 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crusaders FC vs Glentoran?
Glentoran starts as the favourite with a 229-point Elo edge (1,626 vs 1,397).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Crusaders FC vs Glentoran
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Crusaders FC
4-3-3- 18A. Reid
- 27T. Maguire
- 17K. Bond
- 14D. Rocks
- 8H. Jewitt-White
- 11E. Dunlop
- 4J. Blaney
- 5S. Rough
- 3G. Kelly
- 22R. McKay
- 1S. Callister
Glentoran
4-3-3- 24C. McMenamin
- 30J. Jenkins
- 9P. Hoban
- 10J. Stewart
- 8A. McEneff
- 44J. Douglas
- 2R. Cooney
- 16E. Brown
- 4Z. Rossi
- 15J. O'Rourke
- 1A. Mills
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 01:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crusaders FC have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Glentoran have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2026 | Carrick Rangers(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Bangor(away) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Limavady United(away) | 4-1 | Premiership |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Coleraine FC(home) | 0-5 | Premiership |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town(away) | 2-5 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2026 | Bangor(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Carrick Rangers(away) | 0-0 | Premiership |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Coleraine FC(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Limavady United(home) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Portadown(away) | 0-0 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Crusaders FC win, 0 draws, 5 Glentoran wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Glentoran 1-2 Crusaders FC | Premiership |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Glentoran 5-1 Crusaders FC | Premiership |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Glentoran 2-1 Crusaders FC | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Crusaders FC 2-3 Glentoran | Premiership |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Crusaders FC 0-2 Glentoran | Premiership |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Crusaders FC 0-4 Glentoran | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Glentoran vs Crusaders FC on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Crusaders FC score 1.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Glentoran score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crusaders FC | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Glentoran | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Crusaders FC sit 7th in Premiership (19 points from 16 matches) and Glentoran sit 4th (25 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Glentoran | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 12 | 25 |
| 7 | Crusaders FC | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 31 | 19 |
A question about Crusaders FC vs Glentoran?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crusaders FC vs Glentoran?
- The Footlab AI model makes Glentoran the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Crusaders FC.
- Where and when is Crusaders FC vs Glentoran played?
- Crusaders FC vs Glentoran is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Seaview, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.