Portadown vs Carrick Rangers: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Shamrock Park, Portadown
The Footlab model makes Carrick Rangers the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Portadown. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Portadown vs Carrick Rangers?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Portadown (1,449) and Carrick Rangers (1,537).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portadown have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Carrick Rangers have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Crusaders FC(away) | 2-3 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts(home) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carrick Rangers(away) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kilbarrack United(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Coleraine FC(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Limavady United(away) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Portadown(home) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ballyclare Comrades(away) | 8-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ards(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Portadown win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Carrick Rangers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carrick Rangers 1-0 Portadown | Premiership |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Portadown 1-1 Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Portadown 0-3 Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Carrick Rangers 1-2 Portadown | Premiership |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Carrick Rangers 1-0 Portadown | Premiership |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Carrick Rangers 4-1 Portadown | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Carrick Rangers vs Portadown on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Portadown score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Carrick Rangers score 2.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portadown | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Carrick Rangers | 2.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Portadown sit 10th in Premiership (0 points from 3 matches) and Carrick Rangers sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Carrick Rangers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 10 | Portadown | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Portadown vs Carrick Rangers?
- The Footlab model makes Carrick Rangers the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Portadown.
- Where and when is Portadown vs Carrick Rangers played?
- Portadown vs Carrick Rangers is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Shamrock Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.