Portadown vs Carrick Rangers: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Shamrock Park, Portadown
The Footlab AI model makes Carrick Rangers the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Portadown. The most likely score is 1-1. If Carrick Rangers wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,724 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Portadown vs Carrick Rangers?
Carrick Rangers starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,595 vs 1,487).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Portadown vs Carrick Rangers
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Portadown
4-3-3- 7L. Chapman
- 26G. Thompson
- 19J. Teelan
- 28B. Kennedy
- 10E. Fyfe
- 22J. Scott
- 23M. Hewitt
- 3M. Carson
- 4B. Altintop
- 2D. Isamala
- 1A. McCarey
Carrick Rangers
4-3-3- 9D. Gibson
- 10A. Lecky
- 22P. Heatley
- 5J. Forsythe
- 14Aidan Daniel Steele
- 8S. Clucas
- 3K. Nelson
- 6J. Callacher
- 30C. Hawthorne
- 12L. McCullough
- 1N. Gartside
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 03:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portadown have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Carrick Rangers have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Larne(away) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Linfield(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Cliftonville FC(home) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Cliftonville FC(away) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Glentoran(home) | 0-0 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cliftonville FC(away) | 1-7 | Premiership |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Limavady United(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Newry City AFC(home) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Linfield(home) | 2-2 | Premiership |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts(away) | 4-2 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Portadown win, 1 draw, 4 Carrick Rangers wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carrick Rangers 1-0 Portadown | Premiership |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Portadown 1-1 Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Portadown 0-3 Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Carrick Rangers 1-2 Portadown | Premiership |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Carrick Rangers 1-0 Portadown | Premiership |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Carrick Rangers 4-1 Portadown | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Carrick Rangers vs Portadown on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Portadown score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Carrick Rangers score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portadown | 0.7 | 1.7 | 1 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Carrick Rangers | 1.7 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Portadown sit 12th in Premiership (8 points from 14 matches) and Carrick Rangers sit 6th (18 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Carrick Rangers | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 27 | 18 |
| 12 | Portadown | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 24 | 8 |
A question about Portadown vs Carrick Rangers?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Portadown vs Carrick Rangers?
- The Footlab AI model makes Carrick Rangers the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Portadown.
- Where and when is Portadown vs Carrick Rangers played?
- Portadown vs Carrick Rangers is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Shamrock Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.