Duque de Caxias vs Chapecoense-sc: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie CRegular Season - 5Kick-off on July 28, 2012 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Romário de Souza Faria, Duque de Caxias, Rio de Janeiro
Full time
What was the result of Duque de Caxias vs Chapecoense-sc?
Chapecoense-sc won 0-1 on July 28, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 90′Jonathan Oliveira da SilvaChapecoense-sc
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Duque de Caxias have 1 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Chapecoense-sc have 1, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2012 | Vila Nova(away) | 1-4 | Serie C |
| Jul 14, 2012 | Brasiliense(away) | 2-3 | Serie C |
| Jul 8, 2012 | Madureira(home) | 0-2 | Serie C |
| Jun 30, 2012 | Tupi(away) | 2-0 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2012 | Macaé(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Jul 15, 2012 | Caxias(away) | 0-2 | Serie C |
| Jul 8, 2012 | Vila Nova(home) | 3-2 | Serie C |
| Jun 30, 2012 | Santo André(away) | 0-0 | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Duque de Caxias score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 4; Chapecoense-sc score 1.0 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duque de Caxias | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 2/4 | 2/4 |
| Chapecoense-sc | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1 | 2/4 | 1/4 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy