RB Bragantino vs Chapecoense-sc: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid, Bragança Paulista, São Paulo
The Footlab model makes RB Bragantino the favourite at 67%, against 22% for a draw and 11% for Chapecoense-sc. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win RB Bragantino vs Chapecoense-sc?
RB Bragantino starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,948 vs 1,830).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RB Bragantino have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Chapecoense-sc have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gremio(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Atletico-MG(away) | 2-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Atletico-MG(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Corinthians(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sao Paulo(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bahia(home) | 3-3 | Serie A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Coritiba(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Cruzeiro(away) | 0-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Cruzeiro(home) | 0-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 RB Bragantino win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Chapecoense-sc win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Chapecoense-sc 1-2 RB Bragantino | Serie A |
| Sep 11, 2021 | RB Bragantino 1-2 Chapecoense-sc | Serie A |
| May 30, 2021 | Chapecoense-sc 0-3 RB Bragantino | Serie A |
| Nov 16, 2013 | Chapecoense-sc 1-1 RB Bragantino | Serie B |
| Aug 24, 2013 | RB Bragantino 1-0 Chapecoense-sc | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Chapecoense-sc vs RB Bragantino on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
RB Bragantino score 1.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chapecoense-sc score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Bragantino | 1.2 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Chapecoense-sc | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
RB Bragantino sit 7th in Serie A (35 points from 23 matches) and Chapecoense-sc sit 20th (11 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 35 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 23 | 46 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for RB Bragantino vs Chapecoense-sc?
- The Footlab model makes RB Bragantino the favourite at 67%, against 22% for a draw and 11% for Chapecoense-sc.
- Where and when is RB Bragantino vs Chapecoense-sc played?
- RB Bragantino vs Chapecoense-sc is played on October 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.