Duque de Caxias vs Paduano: result 2-1 and analysis
Carioca - 2Group Stage - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2025 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Romário de Souza Faria, Duque de Caxias, Rio de Janeiro
Full time
What was the result of Duque de Caxias vs Paduano?
Duque de Caxias won 2-1 on October 25, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 19′?Duque de Caxias
- 60′?Paduano
- 89′?Duque de Caxias
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Duque de Caxias have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Paduano have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | Friburguense(away) | 1-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | São Cristóvão RJ(away) | 0-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Campo Grande(home) | 0-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Bonsucesso(away) | 0-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Artsul(home) | 1-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | Campo Grande(home) | 0-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Bonsucesso(away) | 1-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Artsul(home) | 0-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Serrano RJ(away) | 2-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Petrópolis(home) | 0-1 | Carioca - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Duque de Caxias win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Paduano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2023 | Paduano 0-0 Duque de Caxias | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Duque de Caxias 2-1 Paduano | Carioca - 2 |
Last archived meeting: Paduano vs Duque de Caxias on Oct 21, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Duque de Caxias score 0.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Paduano score 0.8 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duque de Caxias | 0.6 | 0.7 | 8 | 2/15 | 2/15 |
| Paduano | 0.8 | 0.9 | 4 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Duque de Caxias sit 4th in Carioca - 2 (18 points from 11 matches) and Paduano sit 11th (10 points from 11 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Duque de Caxias | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 18 |
| 11 | Paduano | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy