Búzios vs Paduano: prediction and stats
Carioca B2Group Stage - 10Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Paduano the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Búzios. The most likely score is 1-1. If Paduano wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Búzios vs Paduano?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Búzios (1,395) and Paduano (1,484).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Búzios vs Paduano
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Búzios
Not enough data to predict the Búzios lineup.
Paduano
Not enough data to predict the Paduano lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Búzios have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Paduano have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Friburguense(home) | 2-3 | Carioca B2 |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Campos AA(away) | 1-3 | Carioca B2 |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Paraty(home) | 3-2 | Carioca B2 |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Barra Mansa(away) | 0-1 | Carioca B2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Serra Macaense(home) | 0-2 | Carioca B2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | 7 de Abril(home) | 5-0 | Carioca B2 |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Friburguense(away) | 0-1 | Carioca B2 |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Campos AA(home) | 1-1 | Carioca B2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Paraty(away) | 3-0 | Carioca B2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Barra Mansa(home) | 2-2 | Carioca B2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Búzios score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Paduano score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Búzios | 1.7 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Paduano | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Búzios sit 11th in Carioca B2 (3 points from 8 matches) and Paduano sit 3rd (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Paduano | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 14 |
| 11 | Búzios | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 3 |
A question about Búzios vs Paduano?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Búzios vs Paduano?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paduano the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Búzios.
- Where and when is Búzios vs Paduano played?
- Búzios vs Paduano is played on October 25, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC), in the Carioca B2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.