Durango vs Celaya: result 1-1 and analysis
Liga de Expansión MXApertura - 14Kick-off on September 26, 2022 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Francisco Zarco, Durango
Full time
What was the result of Durango vs Celaya?
Durango and Celaya drew 1-1 on September 26, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 8′J. RodríguezDurango
- 50′R. MarínCelaya (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Durango have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Celaya have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2022 | Cimarrones(away) | 0-5 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 15, 2022 | Raya2(home) | 3-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca(away) | 0-4 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 1, 2022 | Atlante FC(home) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 25, 2022 | Dorados(away) | 2-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2022 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca(home) | 2-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 14, 2022 | Cancún(away) | 4-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 8, 2022 | Monarcas(home) | 2-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 2, 2022 | Raya2(away) | 3-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 25, 2022 | Cimarrones(home) | 3-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Durango score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Celaya score 1.6 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Durango | 1.4 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Celaya | 1.6 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Durango | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 12 | Durango | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy