Durango vs R. Union B: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Tabira, Durango
The Footlab AI model makes Durango the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for R. Union B. The most likely score is 1-1. If Durango wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Durango vs R. Union B?
On Elo ratings, Durango has 1,746 points and R. Union B 1,714.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Durango vs R. Union B
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Durango
Not enough data to predict the Durango lineup.
R. Union B
Not enough data to predict the R. Union B lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Durango have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; R. Union B have 1, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Derio(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Touring(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Beasain(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aretxabaleta(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Santurtzi(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Santurtzi(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | San Ignacio(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Sociedad III(away) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Leioa(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Erandio(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Durango score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; R. Union B score 1.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Durango | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| R. Union B | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1 | 2/6 | 3/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Durango sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (7 points from 6 matches) and R. Union B sit 17th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Durango | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | R. Union B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 5 |
A question about Durango vs R. Union B?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Durango vs R. Union B?
- The Footlab AI model makes Durango the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for R. Union B.
- Where and when is Durango vs R. Union B played?
- Durango vs R. Union B is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Tabira, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.