R. Union B vs Derio: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Derio the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for R. Union B. The most likely score is 1-1. If Derio wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win R. Union B vs Derio?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate R. Union B (1,714) and Derio (1,807).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for R. Union B vs Derio
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
R. Union B
Not enough data to predict the R. Union B lineup.
Derio
Not enough data to predict the Derio lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, R. Union B have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Derio have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Santurtzi(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | San Ignacio(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Sociedad III(away) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Leioa(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Erandio(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Durango(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Beasain(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Aretxabaleta(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Santurtzi(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(home) | 3-5 | Copa Federacion |
How many goals should we expect?
R. Union B score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 6; Derio score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Union B | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1 | 2/6 | 3/6 |
| Derio | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
R. Union B sit 17th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (5 points from 6 matches) and Derio sit 3rd (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Derio | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 17 | R. Union B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 5 |
A question about R. Union B vs Derio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for R. Union B vs Derio?
- The Footlab AI model makes Derio the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for R. Union B.
- Where and when is R. Union B vs Derio played?
- R. Union B vs Derio is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.