Orlando Pirates vs Golden Arrows: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Orlando Stadium, Johannesburg, GA
The Footlab model makes Orlando Pirates the favourite at 68%, against 22% for a draw and 10% for Golden Arrows. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Orlando Pirates vs Golden Arrows?
Orlando Pirates starts as the favourite with a 223-point Elo edge (2,026 vs 1,803).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orlando Pirates have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Golden Arrows have 6, 8 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(home) | 2-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(away) | 1-0 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Chippa United(away) | 3-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Amazulu(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Durban City(home) | 2-1 | 8 Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(away) | 1-0 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | TS Galaxy(away) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Durban City(away) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs(away) | 1-0 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chippa United(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Orlando Pirates win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Golden Arrows win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2026 | Orlando Pirates 5-0 Golden Arrows | Premier Soccer League |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Golden Arrows 1-3 Orlando Pirates | Premier Soccer League |
| May 13, 2025 | Orlando Pirates 3-0 Golden Arrows | Premier Soccer League |
| May 6, 2025 | Golden Arrows 1-2 Orlando Pirates | Premier Soccer League |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Orlando Pirates 7-1 Golden Arrows | Premier Soccer League |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Golden Arrows 1-2 Orlando Pirates | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Orlando Pirates vs Golden Arrows on Apr 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Orlando Pirates score 1.6 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Golden Arrows score 0.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Pirates | 1.6 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Golden Arrows | 0.7 | 0.5 | 11 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Orlando Pirates sit 1st in Premier Soccer League (10 points from 4 matches) and Golden Arrows sit 11th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orlando Pirates | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 10 |
| 11 | Golden Arrows | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Orlando Pirates vs Golden Arrows?
- The Footlab model makes Orlando Pirates the favourite at 68%, against 22% for a draw and 10% for Golden Arrows.
- Where and when is Orlando Pirates vs Golden Arrows played?
- Orlando Pirates vs Golden Arrows is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Orlando Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.