Dynamo vs Lokomotiv: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)VTB Arena, Moskva
The Footlab AI model makes Dynamo the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Lokomotiv. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dynamo wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dynamo vs Lokomotiv?
Dynamo starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (2,091 vs 1,980).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dynamo vs Lokomotiv
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dynamo
4-3-3- 11Arthur Gomes
- 91Y. Gladyshev
- 70K. Tyukavin
- 10Bitello
- 15D. Glebov
- 74D. Fomin
- 8Rubens
- 57David Ricardo
- 4J. Cáceres
- 55M. Osipenko
- 99A. Lunev
Lokomotiv
4-2-3-1- 27N. Komlichenko
- 18N. Titkov
- 7Z. Bakaev
- 19A. Rudenko
- 6S. Babkin
- 75I. Eremeev
- 23C. Montes
- 24M. Nenakhov
- 45A. Siljanov
- 3Lucas Fasson
- 1A. Mitryushkin
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dynamo have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Lokomotiv have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Akhmat(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rubin(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 17, 2026 | FC Rostov(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FC Orenburg(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Akron(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fakel(away) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Orenburg(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Zenit(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Dynamo wins, 1 draw, 2 Lokomotiv wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Lokomotiv 0-1 Dynamo | Premier League |
| May 1, 2026 | Lokomotiv 1-1 Dynamo | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Dynamo 3-5 Lokomotiv | Premier League |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Lokomotiv 2-1 Dynamo | Premier League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Lokomotiv 0-2 Dynamo | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 28, 2024 | Lokomotiv 0-1 Dynamo | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Dynamo score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotiv score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo | 1.6 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Lokomotiv | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dynamo sit 1st in Premier League (22 points from 10 matches) and Lokomotiv sit 13th (10 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dynamo | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 22 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 10 |
A question about Dynamo vs Lokomotiv?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dynamo vs Lokomotiv?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dynamo the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Lokomotiv.
- Where and when is Dynamo vs Lokomotiv played?
- Dynamo vs Lokomotiv is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at VTB Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.