Rodina Moskva vs Zenit: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Arena Khimki, Khimki
The Footlab AI model makes Zenit the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Rodina Moskva. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,963 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rodina Moskva vs Zenit?
Zenit is a heavy favourite: 2,174 Elo points against 1,830, a 345-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rodina Moskva vs Zenit
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rodina Moskva
4-2-3-1- 7G. Onugkha
- 17S. Bakaev
- 10Y. Reyna
- 9A. Maksimenko
- 5A. Egorychev
- 38L. Musaev
- 75M. Nadé
- 20D. Machado
- 2Igor Silva
- 50Rodrigo Becão
- 13S. Volkov
Zenit
4-2-3-1- 7A. Sobolev
- 93A. Karpukas
- 5W. Barrios
- 11Luiz Henrique
- 20Pedro Henrique
- 10M. Glushenkov
- 33Nino
- 31Gustavo Mantuan
- 28N. Alip
- 3Douglas Santos
- 16D. Adamov
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 04:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rodina Moskva have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Zenit have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | FC Orenburg(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(home) | 2-4 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Dynamo(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | FK Partizan(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Akhmat(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Dinamo Makhachkala(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Bate Borisov(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Shanghai Shenhua(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Rodina Moskva win, 0 draws, 0 Zenit wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zenit 1-2 Rodina Moskva | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Zenit vs Rodina Moskva on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rodina Moskva score 1.6 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Zenit score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodina Moskva | 1.6 | 2.4 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Zenit | 1.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rodina Moskva sit 16th in Premier League (6 points from 11 matches) and Zenit sit 2nd (24 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Zenit | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 13 | 24 |
| 16 | Rodina Moskva | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 6 |
A question about Rodina Moskva vs Zenit?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rodina Moskva vs Zenit?
- The Footlab AI model makes Zenit the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Rodina Moskva.
- Where and when is Rodina Moskva vs Zenit played?
- Rodina Moskva vs Zenit is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Khimki, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.