Fakel vs CSKA Moscow: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov, Voronezh
The Footlab AI model makes CSKA Moscow the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Fakel. The most likely score is 1-1. If CSKA Moscow wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,445 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fakel vs CSKA Moscow?
CSKA Moscow starts as the favourite with a 198-point Elo edge (2,025 vs 1,826).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fakel vs CSKA Moscow
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fakel
5-3-2- 19B. Pusi
- 90A. Koksharov
- 23V. Yakimov
- 8A. Bagamaev
- 97B. Magomedov
- 40Clayton
- 53M. Bardachev
- 10I. Alshin
- 17A. Kovalev
- 5A. Gabaraev
- 96I. Obukhov
CSKA Moscow
5-3-2- 17K. Glebov
- 11T. Musaev
- 10I. Oblyakov
- 31M. Kislyak
- 19I. Oleynikov
- 3D. Krugovoy
- 21M. Azzi
- 90M. Lukin
- 23Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov
- 4João Victor
- 39M. Borisko
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 11:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fakel have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; CSKA Moscow have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rubin(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Akhmat(home) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | FC Orenburg(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Dynamo(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | FC Rostov(home) | 4-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Fakel wins, 2 draws, 4 CSKA Moscow wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | CSKA Moscow 1-0 Fakel | Premier League |
| Feb 17, 2025 | CSKA Moscow 1-1 Fakel | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Fakel 0-1 CSKA Moscow | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2024 | CSKA Moscow 0-0 Fakel | Premier League |
| Apr 7, 2024 | CSKA Moscow 4-1 Fakel | Premier League |
| Feb 5, 2024 | CSKA Moscow 1-0 Fakel | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Fakel score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA Moscow score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fakel | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| CSKA Moscow | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fakel sit 16th in Premier League (6 points from 13 matches) and CSKA Moscow sit 3rd (26 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 12 | 26 |
| 16 | Fakel | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 6 |
A question about Fakel vs CSKA Moscow?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fakel vs CSKA Moscow?
- The Footlab AI model makes CSKA Moscow the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Fakel.
- Where and when is Fakel vs CSKA Moscow played?
- Fakel vs CSKA Moscow is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.