Eastleigh vs Aldershot Town: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Silverlake Stadium, Eastleigh, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Aldershot Town the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Eastleigh. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eastleigh vs Aldershot Town?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Eastleigh (1,696) and Aldershot Town (1,746).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eastleigh have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Aldershot Town have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 3-2 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 0-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gateshead(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Crawley Town(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Fulham U21(home) | 2-2 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hartlepool(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Boston United(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Eastleigh win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Aldershot Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Eastleigh 1-4 Aldershot Town | National League |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Eastleigh 2-1 Aldershot Town | FA Trophy |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Aldershot Town 2-3 Eastleigh | National League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Eastleigh 2-0 Aldershot Town | National League |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Aldershot Town 2-1 Eastleigh | National League |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Aldershot Town 3-5 Eastleigh | National League |
Last archived meeting: Eastleigh vs Aldershot Town on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eastleigh score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Aldershot Town score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastleigh | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Aldershot Town | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eastleigh sit 8th in National League (6 points from 3 matches) and Aldershot Town sit 14th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Eastleigh | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 14 | Aldershot Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eastleigh vs Aldershot Town?
- The Footlab model makes Aldershot Town the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Eastleigh.
- Where and when is Eastleigh vs Aldershot Town played?
- Eastleigh vs Aldershot Town is played on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Silverlake Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.