Carlisle vs Scunthorpe: result 4-2 and analysis
National LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
Full time
What was the result of Carlisle vs Scunthorpe?
Carlisle won 4-2 on August 31, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 7′M. AzeezCarlisle
- 28′J. RichardsScunthorpe
- 33′R. LinneyCarlisle
- 38′J. WilliamsCarlisle
- 68′J. LuambaCarlisle
- 84′R. BarrowsScunthorpe
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Carlisle win at 56%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 4-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Carlisle vs Scunthorpe
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Carlisle
- 7D. Ajiboye
- 9G. Kelly
- 10R. Linney
- 4H. Bunker
- 6M. Azeez
- 20S. Wearne
- 12R. Galvin
- 15B. Nicholson
- 18J. Ellis
- 22J. Williams
- 1A. Desbois
Scunthorpe
- 12H. Parker
- 14P. Jones
- 31J. Gale
- 11J. Rowley
- 19J. Richards
- 23J. Butterfield
- 3B. Horton
- 5W. Evans
- 33T. Denton
- 44R. Barrows
- 1L. Jones
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carlisle have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Scunthorpe have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | Wealdstone(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Aug 22, 2026 | AFC Hornchurch(home) | 4-1 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yeovil Town(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Worthing(home) | 2-3 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Derby County U21(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | Solihull Moors(home) | 3-1 | National League |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eastleigh(away) | 2-3 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Stoke City U21(home) | 4-0 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Southend(away) | 0-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Yeovil Town(home) | 1-1 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Carlisle wins, 1 draw, 1 Scunthorpe win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2026 | Carlisle 3-2 Scunthorpe | National League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Scunthorpe 0-1 Carlisle | National League |
| Jan 1, 2022 | Scunthorpe 0-1 Carlisle | League Two |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Carlisle 2-2 Scunthorpe | League Two |
| Apr 6, 2021 | Carlisle 2-0 Scunthorpe | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2020 | Scunthorpe 1-0 Carlisle | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Carlisle vs Scunthorpe on Feb 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Carlisle score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Scunthorpe score 1.6 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 1.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Scunthorpe | 1.6 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carlisle sit 14th in National League (17 points from 13 matches) and Scunthorpe sit 22nd (10 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Carlisle | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 17 |
| 22 | Scunthorpe | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 10 |
A question about Carlisle vs Scunthorpe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy