Eastleigh vs Boreham Wood: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Silverlake Stadium, Eastleigh, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Boreham Wood the favourite at 70%, against 17% for a draw and 14% for Eastleigh. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eastleigh vs Boreham Wood?
Boreham Wood starts as the favourite with a 289-point Elo edge (1,984 vs 1,695).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eastleigh have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Boreham Wood have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 3-2 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 0-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gateshead(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Crawley Town(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Forest Green(away) | 3-0 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Leeds United U21(home) | 5-2 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 3-3 | National League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Norwich City U21(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Eastleigh win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Boreham Wood win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Eastleigh 2-2 Boreham Wood | National League |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Boreham Wood 2-0 Eastleigh | National League |
| Jan 24, 2024 | Boreham Wood 4-4 Eastleigh | National League |
| Nov 21, 2023 | Eastleigh 2-1 Boreham Wood | National League |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Eastleigh 5-1 Boreham Wood | FA Cup |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Boreham Wood 0-0 Eastleigh | National League |
Last archived meeting: Eastleigh vs Boreham Wood on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eastleigh score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Boreham Wood score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastleigh | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Boreham Wood | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eastleigh sit 8th in National League (6 points from 3 matches) and Boreham Wood sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Boreham Wood | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | Eastleigh | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eastleigh vs Boreham Wood?
- The Footlab model makes Boreham Wood the favourite at 70%, against 17% for a draw and 14% for Eastleigh.
- Where and when is Eastleigh vs Boreham Wood played?
- Eastleigh vs Boreham Wood is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Silverlake Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.