Solihull Moors vs Aldershot Town: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)ARMCO Arena, Solihull, West Midlands
The Footlab model makes Aldershot Town the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Solihull Moors. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Solihull Moors vs Aldershot Town?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Solihull Moors (1,709) and Aldershot Town (1,742).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Solihull Moors have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Aldershot Town have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Southend(home) | 1-3 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Middlesbrough U21(home) | 1-3 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Boston United(home) | 0-2 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Harrogate Town(away) | 2-5 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Northampton(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Fulham U21(home) | 2-2 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hartlepool(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Boston United(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Solihull Moors win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Aldershot Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Aldershot Town 1-5 Solihull Moors | National League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Solihull Moors 1-5 Aldershot Town | National League |
| Feb 25, 2025 | Aldershot Town 3-1 Solihull Moors | National League |
| Dec 10, 2024 | Solihull Moors 2-1 Aldershot Town | National League |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Aldershot Town 1-1 Solihull Moors | National League |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Solihull Moors 0-1 Aldershot Town | National League |
Last archived meeting: Aldershot Town vs Solihull Moors on Jan 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Solihull Moors score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Aldershot Town score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solihull Moors | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Aldershot Town | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Solihull Moors sit 24th in National League (0 points from 3 matches) and Aldershot Town sit 14th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Aldershot Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 24 | Solihull Moors | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Solihull Moors vs Aldershot Town?
- The Footlab model makes Aldershot Town the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Solihull Moors.
- Where and when is Solihull Moors vs Aldershot Town played?
- Solihull Moors vs Aldershot Town is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at ARMCO Arena, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.