Kidderminster Harriers vs Hartlepool: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 11, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Aggborough Stadium, Kidderminster, Worcestershire
The Footlab model makes Kidderminster Harriers the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Hartlepool. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kidderminster Harriers vs Hartlepool?
Kidderminster Harriers starts as the favourite with a 200-point Elo edge (1,963 vs 1,763).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kidderminster Harriers have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Hartlepool have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 1-1 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AFC Hornchurch(away) | 0-3 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Alvechurch(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sutton Utd(away) | 1-2 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aldershot Town(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Middlesbrough U21(home) | 0-10 | National League Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Kidderminster Harriers win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Hartlepool win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | Hartlepool 0-1 Kidderminster Harriers | National League |
| Nov 21, 2023 | Kidderminster Harriers 1-1 Hartlepool | National League |
Last archived meeting: Hartlepool vs Kidderminster Harriers on Jan 23, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Kidderminster Harriers score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hartlepool score 1.4 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kidderminster Harriers | 2.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Hartlepool | 1.4 | 2.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kidderminster Harriers sit 15th in National League (4 points from 3 matches) and Hartlepool sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hartlepool | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 15 | Kidderminster Harriers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kidderminster Harriers vs Hartlepool?
- The Footlab model makes Kidderminster Harriers the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Hartlepool.
- Where and when is Kidderminster Harriers vs Hartlepool played?
- Kidderminster Harriers vs Hartlepool is played on September 11, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Aggborough Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.