Match

Farnborough vs Ebbsfleet United: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Saunders Transport Community Stadium, Farnborough, Hampshire

FarnboroughEbbsfleet United

The Footlab model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Farnborough. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Farnborough vs Ebbsfleet United?

A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Farnborough (1,772) and Ebbsfleet United (1,812).

Farnborough win33 %
Draw23 %
Ebbsfleet United win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Farnborough have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Ebbsfleet United have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Farnborough
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Maidenhead(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 19, 2026Chesham United(home)1-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(home)0-2National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Maidstone Utd(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Bath City(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Ebbsfleet United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 31, 2026Gillingham(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026Cray Valley PM(away)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026West Ham United U21(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 7, 2026Dartford(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Worthing(away)0-2National League - South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Farnborough win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Ebbsfleet United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 28, 2026Ebbsfleet United 2-2 FarnboroughNational League - South
Nov 29, 2025Farnborough 1-1 Ebbsfleet UnitedNational League - South
Feb 28, 2023Farnborough 2-2 Ebbsfleet UnitedNational League - South
Aug 20, 2022Ebbsfleet United 4-2 FarnboroughNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Ebbsfleet United vs Farnborough on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Farnborough score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ebbsfleet United score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Farnborough1.81.4410/159/15
Ebbsfleet United1.91.5310/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Farnborough4211447

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Farnborough vs Ebbsfleet United?
The Footlab model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Farnborough.
Where and when is Farnborough vs Ebbsfleet United played?
Farnborough vs Ebbsfleet United is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Saunders Transport Community Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Farnborough and Ebbsfleet United

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