Match

Ecuador U17 vs Uganda U17: prediction and stats

World Cup - U17Group stage · Matchday 2Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito

Ecuador U17Uganda U17

The Footlab AI model makes Ecuador U17 the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Uganda U17. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ecuador U17 wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,203 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ecuador U17 vs Uganda U17?

A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Ecuador U17 (1,556) and Uganda U17 (1,521).

46%22%32%
Ecuador U17 winDrawUganda U17 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Ecuador U17 vs Uganda U17

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Ecuador U17

4-3-3
  1. 9J. Guerrero
  2. 14J. Mina
  3. 23J. Martinez
  1. 8B. Zamora
  2. 10J. Calle
  3. 11H. Quintero
  1. 2Deinner Ordóñez
  2. 6J. Chica
  3. 5A. Cuadrado
  4. 3J. Medina
  1. 12M. Vaca

Uganda U17

4-3-3
  1. 10M. Owen
  2. 20N. Kawooya
  3. 11I. Fahad
  1. 6H. Muhoozi
  2. 21B. Olwa
  3. 11Richard Okello
  1. 5J. Owino
  2. 25M. Mujaid
  3. 2M. Enoch
  4. 13T. Mubiru
  1. 19A. Lukyamuzi

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 10:18 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ecuador U17 have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Uganda U17 have 5, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ecuador U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 19, 2026Brazil U17(home)0-1CONMEBOL - U17
Apr 16, 2026Argentina U17(home)1-3CONMEBOL - U17
Apr 12, 2026Chile U17(away)3-1CONMEBOL - U17
Apr 7, 2026Uruguay U17(home)2-1CONMEBOL - U17
Apr 5, 2026Colombia U17(home)0-0CONMEBOL - U17
Uganda U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Ghana U17(home)2-2CAF Cup of Nations - U17
May 19, 2026Côte d'Ivoire U17(away)2-2CAF Cup of Nations - U17
May 16, 2026Cameroon U17(away)0-1CAF Cup of Nations - U17
May 13, 2026DR Congo U17(home)3-0CAF Cup of Nations - U17
Nov 18, 2025Burkina Faso U17(home)1-1World Cup - U17

How many goals should we expect?

Ecuador U17 score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Uganda U17 score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ecuador U171.21.147/158/15
Uganda U171.41.347/138/13

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Ecuador U17 vs Uganda U17?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ecuador U17 vs Uganda U17?
The Footlab AI model makes Ecuador U17 the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Uganda U17.
Where and when is Ecuador U17 vs Uganda U17 played?
Ecuador U17 vs Uganda U17 is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, in the World Cup - U17.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Ecuador U17 and Uganda U17