Eemdijk vs TEC: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Vinken, Bunschoten
The Footlab model makes Eemdijk the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for TEC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eemdijk vs TEC?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Eemdijk (1,754) and TEC (1,744).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eemdijk have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; TEC have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | ADO '20(home) | 4-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Excelsior '31(away) | 0-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Berkum(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dovo(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | GVVV Veenendaal(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sparta Nijkerk(home) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | ACV(away) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Jun 7, 2026 | NEO(home) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| Jun 3, 2026 | NEO(away) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| May 31, 2026 | Heino(home) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Eemdijk win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 TEC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Eemdijk 3-1 TEC | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 18, 2025 | TEC 0-2 Eemdijk | Derde Divisie |
| Mar 8, 2025 | TEC 6-1 Eemdijk | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Eemdijk 3-0 TEC | Derde Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Eemdijk score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; TEC score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eemdijk | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| TEC | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eemdijk sit 9th in Derde Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and TEC sit 6th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | TEC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eemdijk vs TEC?
- The Footlab model makes Eemdijk the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for TEC.
- Where and when is Eemdijk vs TEC played?
- Eemdijk vs TEC is played on February 27, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Vinken, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.