Dovo vs Excelsior '31: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Panhuis (DOVO), Veenendaal
The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior '31 the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Dovo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Excelsior '31 wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dovo vs Excelsior '31?
On Elo ratings, Dovo has 1,710 points and Excelsior '31 1,792.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dovo vs Excelsior '31
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dovo
4-3-3- 15Kelly Joao
- 8Theo Visser
- 11N. Hak
- 10M. van Nispen
- 22M. den Boer
- 5T. Pluk
- 18V. Wormgoor
- 3S. Oonincx
- 35Nick de Bondt
- 6Guido van Rijn
- 16Niels Daalhuizen
Excelsior '31
Not enough data to predict the Excelsior '31 lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dovo have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Excelsior '31 have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | SC Genemuiden(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | ADO '20(home) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Excelsior '31(away) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(away) | 1-3 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sportlust '46(away) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | ADO '20(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sportlust '46(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Dovo(home) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | AFC '34(home) | 4-3 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hoogeveen(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Dovo wins, 0 draws, 2 Excelsior '31 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Excelsior '31 3-0 Dovo | Derde Divisie |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Dovo 2-1 Excelsior '31 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Excelsior '31 1-0 Dovo | Derde Divisie |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Excelsior '31 0-1 Dovo | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Dovo 1-0 Excelsior '31 | Derde Divisie |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Excelsior '31 0-1 Dovo | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Excelsior '31 vs Dovo on Sep 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dovo score 1.6 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Excelsior '31 score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dovo | 1.6 | 2.2 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Excelsior '31 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dovo sit 15th in Derde Divisie (5 points from 9 matches) and Excelsior '31 sit 5th (19 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Excelsior '31 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 19 |
| 15 | Dovo | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 5 |
A question about Dovo vs Excelsior '31?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dovo vs Excelsior '31?
- The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior '31 the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Dovo.
- Where and when is Dovo vs Excelsior '31 played?
- Dovo vs Excelsior '31 is played on February 27, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Panhuis (DOVO), in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.