Staphorst vs Sparta Nijkerk: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Het Noorderslag, Staphorst
The Footlab AI model makes Sparta Nijkerk the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Staphorst. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Staphorst vs Sparta Nijkerk?
Sparta Nijkerk starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,819 vs 1,675).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Staphorst vs Sparta Nijkerk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Staphorst
4-3-3- 11S. Haanstra
- 20J. Hooikammer
- 11M. Luchtenberg
- 7D. Schra
- 17M. van 't Ende
- 6R. Crediet
- 4D. Muis
- 15K. Engbers
- 5J. Duit
- 21J. Huizing
- 24A. van Zaltbommel
Sparta Nijkerk
4-3-3- 3R. Huizing
- 11O. El Ghazouani
- 23T. Fonville
- 17R. Bakkenes
- 20V. van der Linde
- 9T. Pieters
- 4J. Makizodila
- 14T. van Dijk
- 18K. Hugo
- 24Chima Anyasi
- 1S. van Steenis
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Staphorst have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Sparta Nijkerk have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hollandia(away) | 4-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | TEC(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sparta Nijkerk(away) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | SC Genemuiden(home) | 2-3 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | ACV(home) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | VV Scherpenzeel(home) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | SVZW(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Staphorst(home) | 3-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 23, 2026 | UDI '19(home) | 3-1 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eemdijk(away) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Staphorst wins, 1 draw, 2 Sparta Nijkerk wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sparta Nijkerk 3-2 Staphorst | Derde Divisie |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Sparta Nijkerk 1-2 Staphorst | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Staphorst 3-1 Sparta Nijkerk | Derde Divisie |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Sparta Nijkerk 3-2 Staphorst | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Staphorst 5-1 Sparta Nijkerk | Derde Divisie |
| May 27, 2023 | Staphorst 1-1 Sparta Nijkerk | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Nijkerk vs Staphorst on Sep 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Staphorst score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Nijkerk score 2.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Staphorst | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Sparta Nijkerk | 2.2 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Staphorst sit 14th in Derde Divisie (6 points from 9 matches) and Sparta Nijkerk sit 9th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sparta Nijkerk | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 14 |
| 14 | Staphorst | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | 6 |
A question about Staphorst vs Sparta Nijkerk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Staphorst vs Sparta Nijkerk?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sparta Nijkerk the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Staphorst.
- Where and when is Staphorst vs Sparta Nijkerk played?
- Staphorst vs Sparta Nijkerk is played on February 27, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Het Noorderslag, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.