Sportlust '46 vs DVS 33 Ermelo: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Cromwijck, Woerden
The Footlab AI model makes Sportlust '46 the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for DVS 33 Ermelo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sportlust '46 wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,500 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sportlust '46 vs DVS 33 Ermelo?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Sportlust '46 (1,804) and DVS 33 Ermelo (1,817).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sportlust '46 vs DVS 33 Ermelo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sportlust '46
3-4-2-1- 32Nordin Zoufri
- 8M. Fichtinger
- 21C. van Hussen
- 7Kesly den Haag
- 5Martijn Jansen
- 22Timo Lutters
- 23Mitchell van der Veer
- 4Fabio Helderton
- 3Coen van der Hoek
- 25Kjeld van den Hoek
- 1S. Damkalis
DVS 33 Ermelo
3-4-3- 10Stef Nijland
- 7J. van Essen
- 11B. Roemeon
- 6R. Dekker
- 22M. Ahrens
- 3Tim Van de Berg
- 8Maarten van Dijk
- 5R. Baas
- 17Willard Timmerman
- 15T. van Diermen
- 32Largo Karrenbelt
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 01:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportlust '46 have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; DVS 33 Ermelo have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Eemdijk(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | ADO '20(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hercules(away) | 0-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Excelsior '31(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo(away) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | SVZW(home) | 4-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Staphorst(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Eemdijk(home) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hercules(away) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sportlust '46(home) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sportlust '46 wins, 2 draws, 1 DVS 33 Ermelo win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo 1-2 Sportlust '46 | Derde Divisie |
| Apr 25, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo 2-1 Sportlust '46 | Derde Divisie |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Sportlust '46 2-2 DVS 33 Ermelo | Derde Divisie |
| Feb 22, 2025 | DVS 33 Ermelo 1-4 Sportlust '46 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Sportlust '46 2-2 DVS 33 Ermelo | Derde Divisie |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Sportlust '46 2-0 DVS 33 Ermelo | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: DVS 33 Ermelo vs Sportlust '46 on Sep 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sportlust '46 score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; DVS 33 Ermelo score 1.4 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportlust '46 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| DVS 33 Ermelo | 1.4 | 2.1 | 0 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sportlust '46 sit 7th in Derde Divisie (19 points from 11 matches) and DVS 33 Ermelo sit 14th (9 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sportlust '46 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 17 | 19 |
| 14 | DVS 33 Ermelo | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 9 |
A question about Sportlust '46 vs DVS 33 Ermelo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sportlust '46 vs DVS 33 Ermelo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sportlust '46 the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for DVS 33 Ermelo.
- Where and when is Sportlust '46 vs DVS 33 Ermelo played?
- Sportlust '46 vs DVS 33 Ermelo is played on February 27, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Cromwijck, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.